Postby jwocky » Fri Dec 09, 2016 12:17 pm
Well, since the plane obviously made it till almost Medellin, the calculations of this dispatcher have to have an error, right. I mean, if the obviously result was according to his calculations impossible, it had to be a problem with the calculations, simpy because you can't cheat real life physics.
Soooo, we know, an RJ85 is cerified for a range of 1570 nm with FAA reserves and MTOW. Only, this plane had full tanks (standard, without panier) but less than MTOW (68 passengers, not 100, the full capacity). So, 4knots headwind? Errr, on what base did he calculate that? The first part of the flight at FL280, the second part at FL300 or the last few miles on FL210? I would assume, he had a lot more at FL280, the weather looked a bit dense, Which is why they climbed then to FL300.
According to the range, not even calculating in that the plane was not fully loaded, he would have, under normal conditions, started to use the reserve just 30 miles before Medellin. Given the 30 minutes reserve, he could have made it even with two, even with three circles.
There is so much, that makes me wonder about this out of fuel theory. The turbine, I wrote enough about that. The first impact site, where we see parts of the tail. Then the cut path up the slope. Quite steep there. And trees, lots of trees. Still no debris along the path. So, where did the additional thrust come from that lifted that aircraft high enough up after already a part of the tail was missing, to kick basically over most of those trees. If that plane would have slid on the belly up that slope, the wings would have ended up on the trees. They are almost completely at the main debris site. How the hell would have had this plane even enough force to make it up there and then basically already over the ridge? How if there was no engine thrust because she was out of fuel?
However, electrical failure means no radar, no TCAS. Listen to the ATC tape, the part where the ATC asks for the altitude because she couldn't see it on the radar anymore. Secondary radar works only if there is a direct line of sight and the transponder has power. The transponder should have had power even if the engines were out because of the batteries. We knew, if the plane was on battery, those batteries were good. Listen how clear the pilot comes through in the radio. Very very strong for a system on emergency batteries. Basically suspiciously strong, almost as if the power was full there, the generators and the APU working. So, electrical failure but some parts have power. Doesn't that make anyone wonder? This radio was on full power when the pilot reported total electrical failure. The transponder is no mystery. The transponder worked probably just fine, but the plane was already covered by Cerro Gordo, the ridge it hit then. The pilot was surprised when he looked and said 9000ft. He wasn't aware, he was thousand feet lower than planned already. And then, the tail and at first only the tail hit the ground. How is that possible? This is a slope. Thus, it is only possible if the tail is a lot lower than the nose. Means, pitch angle. A lot of pitch. Where do you get so much pitch? Only if you pull the yoke full backwards. Next thing, your nose goes up and that moment stays with you for seconds, even after your tail goes. That's the next hint, physics gives us. A hit with the tail should have given at least some impulse to tilt forward again. But the nose remained high. Because if the nose wouldn't have remained high, the wings wouldn't have made it over the trees. So we know the nose was up. But of course, also simple physics, she couldn't get more speed, she was almost or completely in a stall, meters above the slope. She basically climbed just as much as the mountain slope. So what cut that path in the trees must have been the rear end of the plane. The part missing at the main debris site. So, where did all that thrust come from if the engines had no power because no fuel? Where?
The problem is, we have already reached the point where everybody has spoken his judgment, where governments take influence to make witnesses lie, where influential people try to whitewash themselves. So, I expect, someone will write, not enough fuel and that's it. Not because it is true or anybody bothered to look at this electrical failure and found evidence against it, but because the minds are already tained, there is not even a clean investigation possible anymore under these conditions. So, no fuel speaks the manufacturer free from guilt, speaks all maintenance companies free of guilt. Bolivia solves their problems by blaming the clerk who took the flightplan and the pilot can't contradict anymore, he is dead, conveniently as it looks.
Free speech can never be achieved by dictatorial measures!
